This month, Sydney property coverage focused less on headline price growth and more on the lived reality of affordability, finance pressure and decision-making under tighter conditions. Across housing and lending, the articles reflect a market where high prices, elevated interest rates and constrained supply are forcing buyers, borrowers and industry professionals to reassess strategy. Themes include the shrinking pool of homes accessible to first‑home buyers, renewed scrutiny on mortgage choices as rate cuts fade from view, and the practical and emotional considerations driving decisions to sell, downsize or adjust expectations heading into 2026.
First-home buyers on $180,000 can afford only a handful of homes
This article reports on KPMG analysis showing a sharp deterioration in first‑home buyer affordability across Australia. Nationally, the share of homes affordable to an average first‑home buyer has fallen from 30 per cent in 2019–20 to just 12 per cent in 2024–25, despite the income required to service a loan rising to around $180,000. In NSW, first‑home buyers can afford only about 5 per cent of homes, a figure that has barely shifted for five years and which KPMG urban economist Terry Rawnsley says reflects the state hitting its ‘unaffordability limit’. Victoria has seen affordability fall from 15 per cent to 10 per cent, while Queensland and Western Australia have experienced particularly steep declines. Rawnsley warns many buyers are being forced into compromises on location or dwelling type, with broader social consequences such as longer commutes and delayed family formation. Economists argue that improving affordability will require a greater focus on delivering smaller, lower‑cost homes rather than relying on demand‑side measures alone.


